How to Handle Economic Predictions

Economists really stink at predicting one of the most important events they track: Recessions. A recent study of 60 recessions that hit various countries in the 1990s found that only 3 percent of “consensus forecasts” (as they’re known in financial circles) made by groups of economists correctly predicted one of those recessions a year in advance. And when they did see one coming, they underestimated its severity by a long shot.

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Simple Investing Works Best

The longer I invest, the more I realize that simple investing works best. The fewer rules you have, the better.

Simple investing should be a natural outgrowth of having more knowledge and a better understanding of how investing works. Your ability to pick out what’s truly important and what works for you is key.

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Even in a Bear Market, Not All Sectors Are Down

Last year, eight out of 10 major sectors went up. The reverse is happening this year. Eight out of the 10 are now in negative territory. Materials and energy are the only holdouts. Is either one worth investing in? Or are they just laggards that will be heading down any day now?

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Wall Street’s Most Lethal Fallacies

Wall Street has its own less helpful spin on “live and learn.” It’s “read and retch.” So much of what we hear and read from so-called experts is simply garbage. Worst of all, it can lead to bad investment decisions.

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The Book on Bears and Bulls

"The average man doesn’t wish to be told that it is a bull or a bear market. What he desires is to be told specifically which particular stock to buy or sell. He wants to get something for nothing. He does not wish to work. He doesn’t even wish to have to think." – Jesse…

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What’s the Cure for a Sick Economy?

Take my word for it. We’re in a recession. It affects you as an investor and as a consumer. Is there anything that can bring us out of this economic tailspin? It’s time to ask a few questions about the leading candidates.

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